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Five mock-busters who could make the 1st Round

Posted on: April 15, 2010 12:34 pm
Edited on: April 15, 2010 2:08 pm
 
In a previous post I mentioned a few players that league sources are characterizing as overrated and could slip out of the first round entirely.

Just as important when predicting what will take place one week from today, however, is identifying players who have earned very little first round hype but could sneak in late.

There are several "bubble" players that could make the first round that I'm not discussing in this post -- Carlos Dunlap, Brian Price, Kareem Jackson, Golden Tate, some QB from Florida... You've seen them in first round mocks before and, perhaps, wouldn't be surprised if their names were called next Thursday.

This post is dedicated to the truer surprise names.

Among the biggest surprises over the past few years? Former East Carolina running back Chris Johnson, former Virginia Tech offensive tackle Duane Brown (both in 2008), former LSU wideout Craig Davis (2007), former NC State defensive tackle John McCargo (2006), former Ole Miss center Chris Spencer and former Fresno State guard Logan Mankins (both 2005).

Chris Johnson and Logan Mankins have since emerged as Pro Bowl talents for the Titans and Patriots, respectively. While Brown (Houston) and Spencer (Seattle) have developed into solid starters, Davis (San Diego) and McCargo (Buffalo) haven't met expectations.

According to scouts and front office executives throughout the league here are five players who could sneak into the 2010 first round and surprise many.

(Players listed alphabetically)

DL Tyson Alualu, California: An established force as a defensive end in the 3-4 and projecting nicely as a 4-3 defensive tackle, Alualu is scheme-versatile and a high-effort player. He lacks the athletic upside of some of the other defensive linemen of this class, but he's viewed as one of the safer players in the draft. The Steelers made a similar selection with Ziggy Hood last year.

RB Jahvid Best, California: Considering his explosiveness, Best should hardly be viewed as a surprise first round pick. However, his durability concerns are enough that most teams feel he'll be available in the second round. Considering the dramatic drop off in explosive running backs after Spiller and Best, however, a team looking for true big play potential from a 2010 rookie running back might have to gamble earlier than they'd like.

OT Vladimir Ducasse, Massachusetts: I expect there to be a run on offensive linemen in the first round similar to the one seen in 2007 -- when a league record eight offensive tackles were taken. If this were to occur, Ducasse, projected by most teams to go anywhere from 35-55, could sneak in late, just as Duane Brown did with the Houston Texans in 2008.

OLB Koa Misi, Utah: Roughly half of the NFL is now planning on operating primarily out of the 3-4 alignment. That fact makes established pass rushers like Misi ones to watch on draft day. Possessing an explosive first step as a defensive end for the Utes, the 6-3, 251 pound Misi impressed scouts in linebacker drills in workouts. Both he and Virginia Tech's Jason Worilds are viewed as locks for the second round, but an early run on the position could push either into the first round.

OLB Daryl Washington, TCU: As deep and talented as the 3-4 rush linebacker class is, there are few highly rated traditional outside linebackers in this class for the 4-3 alignment. Washington played inside for the Horned Frogs, but his 6-2, 230 pound frame makes him an ideal fit on the weakside. The explosive Washington is rated higher on some boards than Missouri's Sean Weatherspoon.

Comments

Since: Oct 28, 2009
Posted on: April 16, 2010 5:40 pm
 

Five mock-busters who could make the 1st Round

Seriously?

Best isn't going to to be this years Chris Johnson.

Reason...

The Barry Sanders, Marshal Faulk's and Chris Johnson's of the world are few and far between.

CJ has a ways to go to have that type of career but he's shown he is capable if he stays healthy.

There aren't many runningbacks like those guys and those three play eerily similar.



Since: Feb 17, 2008
Posted on: April 16, 2010 10:03 am
 

Five mock-busters who could make the 1st Round

He will be a touchdown machine waiting to happen for whatever team that selects him.

Philadelphia, New England, San Fran  any team would be lucky to add a playmaker like this.

Imagine him and L. Mccoy spliting time.   He reminds me of a young westbrook out of Villanova. 



Since: Jan 9, 2009
Posted on: April 15, 2010 11:29 pm
 

Five mock-busters who could make the 1st Round

Yeah there's no way McCluster could be an every-down back at all.  He was a little on the frail side back in his early years at Ole Miss, not to mention having a idiotic coaching staff and also a 1000 yd rusher in front of him.  His senior year you could notice the muscle that he had put on.  The crazy thing is most of his numbers from last year came in the final 6 games. He only had 54 offensive touches through the first 6 games. 
Here are his numbers through the final 6 games of last year:Date      Opp      
;
Rec      
;  
Yards     Avg      
Td      
;    
Rush      Yards     Avg      
Td

10/24     AR      
;   
7      
;     &nbs
p; 
137      
;  
19.6      
1      
;     &nbs
p; 
22      
;    
123      
;  
5.6      
;   
0

10/31     AUB      
;
4      
;     &nbs
p; 
17      
;    
4.3      
;   
0      
;     &nbs
p; 
22      
;    
186      
;  
8.5      
;   
1

11/14     TN      
;   
4      
;     &nbs
p; 
42      
;    
10.5      
0      
;     &nbs
p; 
25      
;    
282      
;  
11.3      
4

11/21     LSU      
3      
;     &nbs
p; 
18      
;    
6.0      
;   
0      
;     &nbs
p; 
24      
;    
148      
;  
6.2      
;   
0

11/28     MsSt      6      
;     &nbs
p; 
63      
;    
12.6      
1      
;     &nbs
p; 
16      
;    
82      
;    
5.1      
;   
0

01/02     OkSt      5      
;     &nbs
p; 
45      
;    
9.0      
;   
0      
;     &nbs
p; 
34      
;    
184      
;  
5.4      
;   
2

      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;     &
nbsp; 
29      
;    
322      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;
2      
;     &nbs
p; 
143      
;  
1005      
;     &nbs
p;     &nb
sp;    
7

Last 6 games:

Averaged       
;    
4.83 catches for  53.67 yds; 23.83 carries for  167.5 yds per game.

221.17 per game on 28.66 touches. 

 

All that being said, he'd get killed if he was an every down back.  He's got a ton of heart, but sooner or later 25 touches a game would have him beaten down by NFL defensive players.  If a team can figure out how to get him involved the right way he's going to be very dangerous.  




Since: Jan 16, 2007
Posted on: April 15, 2010 10:40 pm
 

Five mock-busters who could make the 1st Round

Good point, but I would not call McCluster a true running back. He is more of a scat back type in the mold of Reggie Bush only with less running ability. I do not believe he will see many carries. His primary usefulness will be catching passes and in the wildcat. Keep in mind that he actually played primarily at receiver his freshman and sophmore year at Ole Miss.



Since: Jan 9, 2009
Posted on: April 15, 2010 8:58 pm
 

Five mock-busters who could make the 1st Round

"Considering the dramatic drop off in explosive running backs after Spiller and Best, however, a team looking for true big play potential from a 2010 rookie running back might have to gamble earlier than they'd like."
I know they run a much faster 40 time than McCluster, but I wouldn't say there's a huge drop off of explosion between those two and Dex.  If you really think you, maybe you should re-watch(or watch for the first time) McCluster's film.  He is much smaller and not close to the size of a prototypical running back, but based on pure explosiveness through the line, they aren't any better than McCluster.  


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